Perspectives
Stay up-to-date with the current investment and macroeconomic issues at ClearBridge Investments. We provide analyses of the themes and trends which lie at the heart of your investment challenges.
The Long View: Inflationary Riptide or Reflationary Current?
The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard continues to flash an overall green expansionary signal, with one positive signal change in March as Profit Margins improved to green. We expect further improvement in the weaker areas of the dashboard as we move through the second quarter.
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Recession Indicators: Amid Recovery, Inflation Scare Looms
With reopening expected to spark a pickup in activity, fiscal and monetary policy still quite accommodative and the economy facing easier near-term price comparisons, investors are increasingly concerned about the risk of a sharp rise in inflation.
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U.S. Demographics Not All Doom and Gloom
A growing middle-age population in the coming two decades should support equity markets as the millennial generation enters its peak economic and investment years.
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Recession Indicators: Jobless Claims a Key Labor Barometer
The weak December jobs report tells a somewhat more optimistic story than the headline figures suggest as the vast majority of job losses were concentrated in the leisure and hospitality industries, which are more exposed to COVID-19 risk.
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The Long View: Follow the Herd?
In the latest AOR blog, “The Long View: Follow the Herd?” Jeff Schulze discusses how consumer spending and inventory restocking should spark an economic pickup and further upside for equities.
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Recession Indicators Update: Policy Responses Critical
While the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard remains yellow, we currently estimate the odds of a recession at 75%.
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