Given our constructive economic and market outlook, we believe the market will ultimately climb today’s wall of worry higher as several of investors’ leading fears are assuaged.
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Energy-driven inflation and geopolitical risk increase the likelihood of higher-for-longer interest rates, which listed infrastructure has several mechanisms for passing through to earnings.
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As systematic investing dominates portfolios, new risks are emerging. Crowding, correlations and factor reversals are reshaping markets — reinforcing the case for a hybrid approach that combines fundamental insight with systematic techniques to deliver more consistent outcomes across cycles.
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Given our constructive economic and market outlook, we believe the market will ultimately climb today’s wall of worry higher as several of investors’ leading fears are assuaged.
Rate Reversal Rewrites Growth Playbook
Geopolitical shocks stalled global equity momentum, with value holding up much better than growth as inflation risks rose and monetary policy grew hawkish.
Global Improvers Power Energy Independence
We see energy security and independence as multi-decade, secular investment themes creating durable opportunities.
Real Assets, Real Resilience
Supply disruptions across key energy and commodity markets in the Middle East highlight the resilience of infrastructure assets.
Infrastructure’s Inflation Pass-Through in Focus
Many infrastructure assets operate under regulatory frameworks or long-term contracts that allow inflation and cost increases to be passed through to end users over time.
Utilities in North America and Europe, pipelines and toll roads are positioned to withstand and grow through commodity-driven shocks such as the current Middle East conflict is creating.
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Widening valuation dispersion is creating a more compelling environment for active stock selection — particularly as earnings “moats” are tested and, in some cases, reinforced.
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High-quality upstream oil and LNG-linked equities offer disciplined exposure in a market where geopolitical risk now drives oil prices.
Interest rate shifts and renewed inflation pressures have sharpened the market's focus on the durability of company earnings. Australian Reporting Season offers a window into how companies are navigating these challenges.
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Rising energy-related inflation risks underscore the importance of U.K. energy security and the attractiveness of regulated infrastructure businesses with revenues linked to their regulated asset bases.
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History shows that investors should take advantage of the opportunity that appears to be emerging, with solid returns in the S&P 500 following historical “geopolitical dips.”