The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard remains firmly in green expansionary territory; despite AI labor fears, supportive fiscal and monetary policy should power the U.S. economy and corporate earnings in 2026.
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Q4 2025 Global Value Improvers Strategy Commentary
A broadening global rally and improving fundamentals across key holdings supported strong fourth-quarter performance for Global Value Improvers.
Capital spending and a resilient U.S. consumer are expected to sustain double-digit corporate profit growth in 2026, leading to positive yet more modest equity returns.
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Structural tailwinds like decarbonisation, network upgrades and climate-proofing, along with AI’s need for power, are fuelling long-term capital expenditure cycles for infrastructure.
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The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard remains firmly in green expansionary territory; despite AI labor fears, supportive fiscal and monetary policy should power the U.S. economy and corporate earnings in 2026.
The November U.K. Budget offers continued support in terms of pipeline visibility and policy direction, in particular for infrastructure helping the energy transition.
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A customised, actively managed approach to Australian equities—focussed on sustainable dividends, quality, diversification, and franking—can significantly improve income preparedness and reduce the risk of capital or income impairment when conditions change.
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Structural market drivers remain, with technology surging on strong earnings, China recovering and India offering long term opportunities.
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Australia now presents a uniquely attractive value opportunity versus global markets, with passive flows amplifying mispricing and leaving high-quality, cash-generative companies overlooked at a time when liquidity is tightening and discipline matters most.
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Structural growth factors such as advancements in technology, compelling relative valuations as well as a stable U.S. dollar enhance the attractiveness of emerging markets.
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A favorable U.S. policy backdrop should support consumers and businesses, counteracting inflationary and trade risks to keep the current expansion intact.
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As global electricity demand continues to surge, the need for substantial investment in power infrastructure is growing. This session explores how these shifts are shaping opportunities for global listed infrastructure, particularly within the utilities sector.
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While the government shutdown has halted most economic data releases, our analysis of private data sources suggests a continuation of recent trends and a stable green signal for the Recession Risk Dashboard.