Although markets often pause to digest after large gains, history suggests these episodes usually prove fleeting, meaning major indexes could move higher in the second half of 2026.
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AI demand is turning global supply constraints across chips, wafers, networking and optical infrastructure into pricing power for key suppliers.
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Many companies supplying scarce, high demand AI infrastructure are based in emerging markets, creating a differentiated route into AI growth through scale, consolidation and pricing power.
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How passive flows, systematic investing and factor crowding are reshaping the market, and what active fundamental investors can do about it.
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Although markets often pause to digest after large gains, history suggests these episodes usually prove fleeting, meaning major indexes could move higher in the second half of 2026.
Infrastructure Positive but Trails in Risk-On Quarter
Listed infrastructure made positive gains, led by user-pays assets such as airports and rail in a risk-on environment of easing geopolitical tensions.
Freight and Travel Rebound Lifts User-Pays Assets
Airports and toll roads rose as easing tensions laid the groundwork for an increase in global travel, while a freight recovery helped rail.
Asia, Europe Flex Tech Muscles
Performance was driven by AI beneficiaries across semiconductors, storage, networking and optical equipment where pricing power is emerging.
Finding Value Beyond the AI Rally
A strong global equity rebound masked uneven leadership, creating opportunities in companies tied to energy security, grid modernization and industrial capex.
Australian equity market valuations and valuation dispersion remain elevated, although valuation spreads have narrowed from the extreme levels seen a year ago.
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Inflation-protected listed Real Assets with less transactional cash flows appear well placed as a defensive “port in the storm”.
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The Strategy generated a solid positive return for the quarter and posted a significant franked dividend yield premium over its Index income return for the previous 12 month period.
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The domestic Australian equities backdrop remained mixed, with subdued sentiment offset by resilient business conditions, while inflation concerns continued to shape interest rate expectations.
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Earnings revisions outside the U.S., particularly in emerging markets, have moved materially higher, with earnings momentum often a key driver of sustained market outperformance.
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