Stay up-to-date with the current investment and macroeconomic issues at ClearBridge Investments. We provide analyses of the themes and trends which lie at the heart of your investment challenges.
We continue to believe a recession is more likely than a soft landing, given many of these data points are lagging or coincident in nature.
More...While housing has been on the leading edge of the current downturn, the threat of higher interest rates will likely be muted relative to history.
More...Regulation, biodiversity and human and labor rights should remain a focus for sustainability-minded investors in 2023.
More...With a deep red signal emanating from the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard and a Fed clearly willing to tolerate economic pain in order to restore price stability, we believe a recession is likely in 2023.
More...The ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard has been flashing a red or recessionary signal for the past four months, consistent with our view that a recession is likely to occur in the U.S. in the next 12 months.
More...We see 2023 shaping up to be a tale of two halves. Heading into the new year, we continue to favour value stocks with defensive characteristics. However, as market participants become convinced the bear market is over, leadership should rotate toward small cap and more aggressive, higher risk stocks.
More...Secular growth drivers for infrastructure should be on full display in 2023, as the dire need for infrastructure spending underpins growth for the next decade, and the first steps for meeting long-term climate and electrification goals are being taken now.
More...Similar to past recessionary drawdowns, we believe the bottoming process for equities will take time to unfold.
More...CIO Scott Glasser analyses the current stage of the U.S. market drawdown, the likely impact on earnings from reduced liquidity and where to position portfolios as markets likely retest prior lows.
More...The overall signal in the ClearBridge Recession Risk Dashboard has worsened from yellow to red, with the Money Supply indicator also changing from yellow to red and deterioration in several indicators that did not move enough to trigger signal changes.
More...For the economy to avert recession after a second straight negative quarter and a now yellow Recession Risk Dashboard, the Fed will likely need to make a dovish pivot.
More...For the economy to avert recession after a second straight negative quarter and a now yellow Recession Risk Dashboard, the Fed will likely need to make a dovish pivot.
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